The municipal elections in South Lebanon were closely preceded by a worsening security situation, expansive political maneuvering and rhetorical outbursts. This would prove a wonderful test of Hezbollah’s appeal to voters. The elections played out amid an increasing regional conflict and internal chaos. They pointed to the Shia Muslim political and armed group’s overwhelming presence, particularly in villages along the borders. Hezbollah, allied with the Amal movement led by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, faces increasing scrutiny as Lebanon grapples with reconstruction needs following its recent conflicts with Israel.
We launched this campaign to raise awareness and stand in solidarity, specifically with the Palestinians in Gaza Strip. This military action quickly escalated into a full-blown war, resulting in widespread destruction and future rebuilding struggles across Lebanon. Compounding an already complicated political environment, the World Bank estimates that the country needs more than $11 billion in reconstruction support.
Political Dynamics and Voter Sentiment
Hezbollah legislator Ali Fayyad, who represents many of the southern border villages, said that the support for the resistance from southerners has not changed. “Southerners are proving again that they are with the choice of resistance,” he stated, reinforcing the notion that despite the recent conflicts and pressures, the political base for Hezbollah remains intact.
The elections saw high voter turnout, reflecting a strong backing for Hezbollah amidst fears of vulnerability. Residents of southern Lebanon live with the threat of these unprovoked Israeli attacks. They have a strong sense of being put upon by their political enemies. In this report Al Jazeera captures the mood of fear and vulnerability among citizens. They are threatened not just by Israel but by a fractured nation in which enemies of Hezbollah are pushing their whole community to the fringes.
Ongoing Conflict and International Pressure
Even though a ceasefire brokered by France took effect in late November 2024, Israel has repeatedly responded to Hezbollah attacks with strikes on these bases. Critics allege that the movement has been militarily defeated. The reality is that they’re making active use of the electoral process to display their political grit. As Al Jazeera’s Zeina Khodr reported at the time, Hezbollah was most certainly losing militarily throughout the war. Today, it’s using the election to show its still strong political clout.
Hezbollah is being dealt unique challenges as the new Lebanese government pledges to create a state monopoly on arms. This change further raises the stakes for the militia to surrender. Under a U.S.-brokered truce with Israel, Hezbollah’s disarmament is a contentious issue, raising questions about its future role within Lebanon’s political framework.
The Path Forward
Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun emphasized resilience amidst destruction, stating, “The will of life is stronger than death and the will of construction is stronger than destruction.” His sentiment rings true, especially in a country that is still seeing the after effects of war but is ambitiously working towards peace and rebuilding.
As the dust settles from the municipal elections, it remains to be seen how Hezbollah will navigate internal pressures and external threats while maintaining its significant foothold in Lebanese politics. The resulting outcome really nails the local vibe. It indicates profound implications for Lebanon’s political future in a region that is growing ever-more complicated.
