As Ecuadorians cast their votes in a pivotal general election, the nation stands at a crossroads between incumbent President Daniel Noboa's tough stance on crime and an alternative path proposed by main contender Luisa González. Sixteen candidates are vying for the presidency, but the focus remains on Noboa and González, the latter a close confidante of former leftist President Rafael Correa and runner-up in the 2023 election.
Ecuador's Constitution mandates that to secure a first-round victory, a candidate must garner more than 50% of the vote. Alternatively, a candidate can win with 40% of the vote and a lead of at least 10 percentage points over the nearest contender. If no candidate meets these criteria, the top two candidates will advance to a second round, provisionally set for April 13. The next government is slated to take office in May.
President Noboa's tenure has been marked by aggressive measures to combat crime. He has declared multiple states of emergency and deployed military forces to curb gang activities across the country. Additionally, Noboa initiated the construction of a new maximum-security prison following the escape of a notorious criminal leader last year. His hardline approach reflects his commitment to restoring security, a key concern for Ecuadorians.
Opposing Noboa is Luisa González, who offers a different vision for Ecuador. As a protégé of former President Correa, she presents an opportunity for change and seeks to address broader social issues alongside security. The choice between these two candidates will determine whether Ecuador continues with Noboa's stringent policies or embraces González's alternative strategies.
The next administration will inherit significant challenges, including security, economic instability, an energy crisis, and international relations. These issues require urgent attention and strategic solutions from Ecuador's leadership.
"Security is the biggest problem the government has had, but in a country with huge social inequalities like Ecuador, I believe that among the priorities of the less advantaged sectors are, in addition to security, health and education." – Santiago Basabe